Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$2.06M Vol · 28 outcomes
Predictions
World
Live Polymarket prices · 50 markets
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$1.66M Vol · 9 outcomes
October 3192%
November 3035%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$566K Vol · 16 outcomes
October 3196%
December 3136%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$396K Vol · 6 outcomes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$339K Vol
7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
$291K Vol
0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$231K Vol
18%
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
$223K Vol · 6 outcomes
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
$219K Vol
83%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$188K Vol
3%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$171K Vol · 4 outcomes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
$144K Vol · 3 outcomes
Iran leadership change by...?
$134K Vol · 4 outcomes
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$130K Vol · 3 outcomes
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$127K Vol
3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$117K Vol · 2 outcomes
0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$116K Vol
11%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$110K Vol · 15 outcomes
US imports Russian diesel by...?
$107K Vol · 5 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$93K Vol · 4 outcomes
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
$93K Vol · 24 outcomes
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
$89K Vol · 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
$87K Vol · 4 outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$85K Vol · 2 outcomes
10%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$79K Vol · 57 outcomes
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$66K Vol · 22 outcomes
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$66K Vol · 2 outcomes
5%
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
$64K Vol · 100 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$60K Vol · 3 outcomes
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$55K Vol · 12 outcomes
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
$49K Vol
43%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
$48K Vol · 3 outcomes
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$44K Vol
6%
Iran leader end of 2026?
$43K Vol · 121 outcomes
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
$42K Vol · 4 outcomes
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
$42K Vol · 6 outcomes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$41K Vol
3%
Netanyahu out by...?
$39K Vol · 3 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
$39K Vol · 3 outcomes
Trump out as President before 2027?
$34K Vol
4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
$34K Vol
31%
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
$31K Vol · 5 outcomes
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
$30K Vol · 2 outcomes
2%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
$27K Vol · 4 outcomes
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$27K Vol · 30 outcomes
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$24K Vol
28%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
$24K Vol · 3 outcomes
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
$24K Vol · 4 outcomes
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$22K Vol · 30 outcomes
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
$22K Vol · 2 outcomes
2%